Philippe J. Fournier: For the first time since fall 2020, a poll puts Plante ahead of Denis Coderre in the mayoral race, with all the momentum in the campaign's final day
Plante and Coderre pose for photos after their debate on Sept. 29, 2021 in Montreal
Let’s take a look at Mainstreet’s numbers. Among the full sample of respondents, Valérie Plante has the support of 46 per cent of respondents, compared to 40 per cent for Denis Coderre. Balarama Holness trails far behind in third place with only 5 per cent support. Of the 850 respondents to this poll, 7 per cent were undecided.
Since the margin of error of the survey is ±3 per cent , Valérie Plante’s lead is therefore statistically significant. Indeed, in a best-case scenario for Coderre, according to Mainstreet, he would be tied with Plante; in the worst-case scenario, he would be trailing Plante by double-digits. However, among non-francophone voters, Denis Coderre leads with 51 per cent, 14 points ahead of Valérie Plante. Balarama Holness, who has negligible support among francophones, climbs to 11 per cent among non-francophones.
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