An analyst and author who accurately predicted 20 out of 21 Oscar predictions in 2018 is sharing one of the methods he uses to select the winners.
Ben Zauzmer, a Harvard graduate of applied math, found a way to combine his passions for math and films to create an Oscar predictions algorithm. In his book, “OscarMetrics: The Math Behind the Biggest Night in Hollywood,” Zauzmer uses data collected from past awards shows and movie review sites such as Rotten Tomatoes to make his Oscar picks.
He says one way to make accurate predictions is by comparing films that are nominated in multiple similar categories. For example, frontrunners for best director are most likely to win best picture. As for this Sunday’s 92nd Academy Awards, Zauzmer predicts the British war film, “1917” and the dark-comedy “Parasite,” are the two leading films to take home the major awards of the night.
Zauzmer says in the past, his favourites to win have won 77 per cent of the time. In 2018, he predicted 20 out of 21 correct. The one that got away that year was his pick for best documentary feature, French film “Faces Places” which lost to Netflix’s “Icarus.”
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