The Parti Québécois, a sovereigntist party, is experiencing a resurgence in popularity, fueled by a charismatic young leader and dissatisfaction with the incumbent government. This resurgence has reignited discussions about Quebec's independence, with polls suggesting a potential majority for the PQ in the next election.
Ten years ago, Jean-François Lisée predicted that Quebec ’s independence movement would be reborn. “It could rise again given the right circumstances,” he said in 2015. “What could trigger it, I cannot say.' Three years later, as leader of the sovereigntist Parti Québécois , Lisée lost his riding and saw his party reduced to 10 seats when the upstart Coalition Avenir Québec, led by François Legault , swept to power for the first time.
The 2018 election was widely seen as proof that separatism was no longer a defining issue in Quebec politics, and pollsters speculated that the PQ’s days were numbered. The province’s new leader was a former sovereigntist at the helm of a conservative-leaning, nationalist party promising not to hold a referendum, and Quebecers rewarded him with a decisive majority. “There are many Quebecers who put aside a debate that has divided us for 50 years,” Legault said after his victory. Now, on the eve of the 30th anniversary of Quebec’s second independence referendum — the first one was in 1980 — it seems the tide could be turning again. Legault is deeply unpopular after six years in power, and the Parti Québécois, with a young, charismatic leader, has been ahead in the polls for more than a year. It remains to be seen, however, whether the party, which is promising to hold a third referendum by 2030, can breathe new life into the province’s aging independence movement. If an election were held today, polls suggest the Parti Québécois would easily win a majority. Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, an Oxford-educated 47-year-old, has injected youthful energy into a party on the verge of extinction. Émile Simard, leader of the PQ’s youth wing, believes the party’s popularity will renew the appetite for independence in Quebec. He grew up in a sovereigntist family in the Saguenay—Lac-Saint-Jean region, and took out his membership card when he turned 16
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