The Parti Québécois, a sovereigntist party, has surged in popularity in Quebec, leading to concerns about a potential new referendum on Quebec's independence from Canada.
The sovereigntist Parti Québécois has seized a commanding lead in provincial polls, a margin that has grown rather than shrunk in recent months. Parti Quebec ois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is promising a referendum in his first mandate if he’s elected. Prominent federalists in Montreal and Ottawa are starting to sound the alarm, publicly and privately, about the once-dismissed possibility of another vote on Quebec ’s place in Canada.
The 2026 provincial election is an eternity away in political terms, and Donald Trump’s election and tariff threats have recently sucked up the province’s political oxygen. But some worry that even with those caveats, there is no obvious challenger to Mr. Plamondon and no obvious leader for a potential No campaign. “The example of Brexit shows that once you start this machine of a referendum, you have no idea what the outcome might be,” said André Pratte, chair of the Quebec Liberal Party’s national policy committee. “Certainly David Cameron didn’t think that Brexit would win the referendum and then it happened,” he added, referring to the former British prime minister. There has been no groundswell of popular appetite for independence in the time the PQ has risen in the polls. Support for leaving Canada remains at its historic norm of about 35 percent
Quebec Independence Parti Québécois Referendum Politics
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