Oscars: Who will win, and who should win?

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Oscars: Who will win, and who should win?
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The lists are very different, and figuring out the first means getting inside the mind of the Academy voter

This week my email contained invitations to participate in two separate surveys about the eventual winners of the 2020 Academy Awards, to be handed out Feb. 9. But they couldn’t be more different.

Here’s how my ballots look. Full disclosure: My record of picking winners is terrible, so go all-in at the office pool with these choices at your peril.Will win: 1917. Sam Mendes’ First World War drama has already been crowned with awards from the producers’ and directors’ guilds. It’s also the “safe” choice alongside the divisive Joker. It would, however, be an oddity, since only 11 films have won best picture with no acting nominations; the last one was Slumdog Millionaire in 2009.

Should win: Renée Zellweger. No question. Here’s a performer I can never watch without thinking about the actor playing the character. Until Judy.Will win: Laura Dern. She actually has two awards-worthy performances this season; she’s nominated for playing a predatory divorce lawyer in Marriage Story, and also does a great turn as the mother in Greta Gerwig’s Little Women.

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