Experts weigh in on the risks of phase three reopening in Ontario

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Experts weigh in on the risks of phase three reopening in Ontario
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Crowds of 50 people may make it hard to physically distance, masks are critical but you can\u0027t eat with them on, and it\u0027s too early to let your guard down

Gathering limits will be increased to 50 people maximum indoors and 100 people maximum outdoors. However, two-metre physical distancing is still required as well asif physical distancing is not possible. Strangely, staff at establishments such as casinos, live shows, performing arts and movie theatres do not count towards the gathering limit, even though they are as susceptible to COVID-19 as any other person.

“That number, 50, is an arbitrary number. I’m concerned because it’s a large number and I don’t want people hanging out with 50 people indoors,” says, assistant professor at the Dalla Lana School of Public Health. “Economically, I understand the motivation, but from a public health standpoint, I don’t think it’s a great idea.”

However, Furness says he is heartened by Ontario’s regional approach to reopening. The risk of community transmission in Southern Ontario is much higher than in other parts of the province. The few weeks of reopening bars and indoor dining in restaurants may lead to a spike in cases that show the rest of the province to slow down.

“Going into phase three, monitoring changes in the Rt is particularly important,” he says. “This is the number of infections attributed to one individual. Ideally, we would like Rt to drop when we enter phase three but any number less than 1.0 is tolerable. Personally, I’d like to see this number at 0.7 for a prolonged period of time.”Article content continued

The Rt value offers a snapshot into transmission rate. Rt value should be below 1 and all metrics should be green for three weeks after each stage of re-opening. Biostatistician Ryan Imgrund monitors all 34 Ontario regions on Twitter.Of Ontario’s 34 public health units, 26 have.

Everyone’s personal risk tolerance is different. What’s permissible for a healthy teenager may not be safe for an older person with pre-existing health problems. It’s also important to considerArticle content continued

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