Expect mortgage rates to rise in 2022, economists say

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Expect mortgage rates to rise in 2022, economists say
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Economists predict the Bank of Canada’s interest rate could increase by 50 to 75 basis points by the end of next year, something they say will undoubtedly also raise Canadian mortgage rates.

that while its current policy rate remains steady at 0.25 per cent, it will likely increase as early as the second quarter of next year.“The variable rates will go up quite quickly, they could even go up in anticipation of the bank action,” Drummond told CTVNews.ca in a phone interview on Thursday.

Robert Hogue, a senior economist with the Royal Bank of Canada, predicts an increase of closer to 0.5 percentage points in the central bank’s interest rate by the end of next year, but sees a rise in variable mortgage rates nonetheless as a result. Fixed-rate mortgages are linked to bond yields, Hogue explained, which involve longer-term interest rates, and bond markets will anticipate future moves by central banks. He forecasts that the average rate of a five-year government of Canada bond yield will likely increase by 0.5 percentage points as well by the end of 2022.

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