Canadian Insolvencies Surge to 15-Year High in 2024 Amid Economic Uncertainty

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Canadian Insolvencies Surge to 15-Year High in 2024 Amid Economic Uncertainty
INSOLVENCYBUSINESSECONOMY
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Canadian insolvencies reached a 15-year high in 2024, driven by a 28.6% increase in business insolvencies. The economic climate is marked by rising living costs, inflation, and potential trade disruptions. The Bank of Canada's interest rate reduction offers some relief, but factors like mortgage renewals and uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs continue to pressure both businesses and consumers.

Insolvencies in Canada saw a significant surge in 2024, climbing 12.1 percent compared to the previous year. Business insolvencies were the primary driver of this increase, soaring by 28.6 percent. The Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy identified construction, transportation and warehousing, and accommodation and food services as the sectors experiencing the most substantial rises in insolvencies.

These figures, which encompass both bankruptcies and proposals, point to a challenging economic climate. The Canadian Association of Insolvency and Restructuring Professionals (CAIRP) reported a 15-year high in both business and consumer insolvencies, averaging around 375 insolvencies per day in 2024. CAIRP chair Andre Bolduc warns that businesses and consumers should brace for continued pressure in 2025, citing potential tariffs and upcoming mortgage renewals as contributing factors.Bolduc highlighted the severity of financial strain faced by many Canadians, exacerbated by rising living costs and economic instability. While the Bank of Canada has lowered its benchmark interest rate to three percent from a peak of five percent due to economic slowdown, homeowners renewing mortgages in 2025 are likely to encounter higher monthly payments compared to their previous rates. Moreover, prices for essential goods remain elevated compared to a few years ago. Businesses are also grappling with significant challenges, including rising production costs, supply chain disruptions, decreased consumer demand, and an overall atmosphere of uncertainty. Bolduc emphasized that these factors, particularly for businesses engaged in cross-border trade or already facing considerable financial strain, make it increasingly difficult to maintain financial stability.The looming threat of U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods further adds to the complexity. Although a temporary reprieve was granted after discussions between President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, the uncertainty surrounding the future remains. The impending expiration of this 30-day truce casts a shadow on the long-term prospects for Canadian businesses, especially small and medium-sized enterprises, which are particularly vulnerable to the potential impact of higher costs and lost export markets. Insolvency filings in the fourth quarter of 2024 experienced a 5.2 percent year-over-year increase, exceeding 35,000. This surge was primarily attributed to consumer insolvencies, which rose by 6.1 percent, while business insolvencies declined by 12.4 percent during the same period.

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