A vote of confidence in Boris Johnson’s leadership now looks more likely than it did in January. What has changed among Tory MPs?
in Westminster. In January, when the scandal over parties held in Downing Street during covid-19 lockdowns flared, some Conservatives talked of ousting Boris Johnson. A vote of confidence in Mr Johnson’s leadership would be triggered if 54 TorySuch a contest now looks rather more likely, even if Mr Johnson would still have a good shot at winning the ballot that would follow. Around 30s have publicly called for him to quit; more have expressed unease about his leadership.
What has changed? Sue Gray’s report into the Partygate affair, which was published on May 25th, was lurid enough in its descriptions of Downing Street drinking to anger the public, yet too patchy to provide the catharsis thats hoped for. Details continue to trickle out about a gathering said to have been organised by the prime minister’s wife, which Ms Gray chose not to investigate.s think that the party cannot win the next election under Mr Johnson.
That the process is so opaque is a result of changes in 1998 to the rules for Tory leadership contests. Previously, rebels would simply organise a direct leadership challenge, as Michael Heseltine did against Margaret Thatcher. Democratising the system has produced a lottery: since only one person knows how many letters have been sent, no one else can be sure if or when the contest will begin. If it does, there is no consensus over who should replace Mr Johnson.
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