A new analysis from political data and polling firm TargetSmart found that while Texas’ new voter registrants are evenly split between men and women, they are younger and more Democratic than before the June ruling on abortion.
following this summer's historic Supreme Court decision striking down Roe v. Wade.
The state’s young voters — defined as those under age 25 — are also leaning more blue, the analysis found. Democrats now make up 47 percent of young Texas voters, up from 34 percent. The Republican share has remained the same at just under 30 percent. That midterm election year, with the rise in popularity of Democrat Beto O’Rourke amid his campaign for U.S. Senate, turnout among 18- to 29-year-olds more than tripled from about 8 percent in 2014 to about 26 percent.
Stephanie Gómez, political director of MOVE Texas, a progressive nonprofit focused on mobilizing young voters, said the high numbers of progressive young people registering to vote lines up with what she sees working with that demographic everyday. Gómez said she often has to remind national political organizers that the old norm of young voters being apathetic is no longer true in Texas.
Genevieve Carter, communications director for Texas Young Republicans, said it’s no surprise that Democrats are pinning their hopes on a backlash against the Dobbs decision to drive turnout, but that’s out of touch with Texans’ priorities. Carter said Texas Young Republicans is seeing record increases in membership and participation in block-walking and campaigning for candidates up and down the ballot.
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