With the Liberals losing once-safe seats, an election can’t be far off

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With the Liberals losing once-safe seats, an election can’t be far off
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The results of Monday’s by-elections are simply a disaster for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau

For Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, the results of Monday’s by-elections are simply a disaster. A once-safe seat in Montreal has been lost, complementing the loss of an equally safe seat in Toronto three months prior. The Liberals face a shellacking in the next election.

But after he was shuffled out of cabinet, Mr. Lametti resigned the seat, forcing an eventual by-election. And then in June, the Liberals lost one of the safest Liberal seats in the land:. Suddenly all eyes were on LaSalle-Émard-Verdun. Both the Bloc-Québécois and the NDP felt they had a shot. The poor result in LaSalle-Émard-Verdun is an even bigger shock for the Liberals than the loss in Toronto-St. Paul’s. Mr. Trudeau is, after all, a Montreal MP.

For NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, the night was encouraging. Though the NDP came third in the Montreal riding, they were only a few hundred votes behind the winner. Mr. Suavé told his supporters Monday night that the NDP is now competitive in Montreal. Certainly they are more competitive than at any time since Mr. Singh became leader.

But though the Conservatives came close, it wasn’t close enough. They will find consolation in the fact that their vote share was up in both by-elections. But losing Elmwood-Transcona was the first bad news Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has received in some time.

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