Winning Iowa Helped Obama in 2008. It Didn’t Make Him.

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Winning Iowa Helped Obama in 2008. It Didn’t Make Him.
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If a 2020 Iowa winner gets a bounce in South Carolina — or New Hampshire, or Nevada, or anywhere else — it won’t be because voters elsewhere are looking to Iowans and yearning for enlightenment

No, these African-American fans of Barack Obama weren’t instructed by Iowans to support him in 2008. Photo: Chris Hondros/Getty Images Many Iowa Democrats are proud about their caucuses giving Barack Obama his first electoral win in 2008, in part because it showed Obama’s cross-racial and trans-partisan appeal .

It has become political lore, repeated on cable airwaves and by Democratic campaign consultants, even presidential candidates. In 2008, as the story goes, black voters were uncertain about Barack Obama’s presidential candidacy until he won the Iowa caucuses, after which they rallied around him over the onetime front-runner, Hillary Clinton …The persistence of the narrative that Iowa made Mr.

A late-July 2007 Pew survey of African-American Democrats showed Obama winning 34 percent — trailing Hillary Clinton’s 47 percent in that demographic but still within striking distance. By contrast, a late-July 2019 Quinnipiac poll had Harris at 7 percent among black voters, far behind Biden’s 55 percent …Obama was running very close to Clinton among black South Carolina Democrats in August 2007 .

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