The best way to prevent war has always been with credible deterrence, and that requires durable democratic alliances. Find out more.
Nuclear subs’ main downside, of course, is their phenomenal expense. The cost to Australia, the Economist estimates, will be an “eye-watering” US$180-US$245 billion over 32 years, which, that being a military procurement cost estimate, is likely only a fraction of the final bill. Expense is the main rationale for AUKUS, however. Only by combining efforts can smaller countries, even very rich smaller countries, match the exertions of a determined nation with 1.
In this country, CAUKUS politics would be our usual mix of passive-aggressiveness toward the Americans. We resent that they are so much bigger than us and possess the international influence we so clearly crave. And we are rhetorically determined to keep our distance from them — if mainly symbolically, given our unwillingness to pay our own way in defence matters and therefore our ultimate dependence on them in geostrategic matters.
But if any other country tries to establish an especially close relationship with the United States, as Australia seems to be doing, well, back off, mate! The U.S. is our special friend, not anybody else’s — even if we mainly show it by continual carping and jousting, as if with an older sibling. What is motivating Australia to move closer to the United States, in addition to its own more secure national identity, is the growing aggressiveness of China, which is unmistakable in the neighbourhood where Australia lives. But we are going through our own re-evaluation of China and its intentions, as it becomes clearer, except to a government with eyes that refuse to see, that China’s government has been moving intoThis advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.
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