Jason Markusoff's Alberta Politics Insider for April 10: One thing the polls tell us, rebuilding the 'firewall,' and more
The latest Alberta polls consistently show the race tightening, but the detailed data is all over the map. Think HQ says the United Conservatives are up by 16 percentage points in battleground Calgary and behind 20 in Edmonton, while Ipsos has narrower single-digit leads for the respective parties in both big cities.
Anne McGrath, running for the NDP in must-win Calgary–Varsity, has encountered visible signs of the gender gap more than she’s used to in federal races or the 2015 provincial contest . At one door, a woman greeted McGrath, said she’ll vote NDP, and then motioned with her head toward the inside of her house: “This guy, not so much,” McGrath recalls the woman saying. At another house, a woman complained her partner is a Trump supporter but she asked for a lawn sign—“the biggest one you’ve got.
Diplomacy and the bullhorn Screenwriters couldn’t ask for more glaring visual contrasts from the campaign’s main two leaders Tuesday morning. Notley sat at the end of a boardroom table at as she testified via videoconference to a Senate committee on the Liberal government’s bill to ban oil tankers on B.C.’s north coast. At the same time, a Senate committee was in Calgary for hearings on Bill C-69, the environmental assessment act.
Kenney promises to slam his fist on the table of Confederation as soon as he’s seated at it. He’ll engage in various forms of constitutional activism, notably a referendum on equalization, a move of dubious merit that legal scholars tell Maclean’s would lack potency as a pressure tactic. He pitches it as a way to ensure other leaders will allow Alberta to develop its resource wealth so the province can share it with the rest of Canada.
David Staples on Alberta’s rolling boil: “So here we are, with reasonable oil industry insiders alarmed like never before and with a moderate like Notley suddenly sounding just like the hawkish Kenney on key points. Albertans are coming together in fear and anger, the only question is whether Trudeau will wake up to this uprising.”
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