Why the Anti-Trump Republican Primary Has Yet to Emerge

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Why the Anti-Trump Republican Primary Has Yet to Emerge
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In surveys, a fair share of Republican voters say they would prefer a less polarizing, more electable nominee. But a near taboo against criticizing Trump has made it hard for rivals to stand out... Why the anti-Trump Republican primary has yet to emerge.

55th Governor of New Jersey, former U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey

In surveys and focus groups, a fair share of Republican voters say they would prefer a less polarizing, more electable nominee. But a near taboo against criticizing Trump has made it hard for rivals — apart from Christie and one or two others near the bottom of polls — to stand out. Several months ago, polling had suggested Trump could be a potentially weak candidate, with only 25% to 35% support from Republican voters in high-quality surveys. The Republican National Committee promised an autopsy of the 2022 midterms that was expected to address Trump’s role in the party’s surprising losses.

A CBS News poll released this month found that among likely Republican primary voters, only an insignificant handful — 7% — wanted a candidate who “criticizes Trump.” Trump’s rivals could still see a surge in support between now and next year’s first primary contests, but for the time being, he is dominating all challengers. A polling average shows him with a 30-point lead over his closest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has yet to formally announce his run. All other candidates, declared and potential, are distant afterthoughts in the race, for now.

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