Why strategists see 10-year Treasury rate breaching 5% despite Friday's pullback

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Why strategists see 10-year Treasury rate breaching 5% despite Friday's pullback
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Vivien Lou Chen is a Markets Reporter for MarketWatch. You can follow her on Twitter @vivienlouchen.

The 10-year Treasury yield continued to pull back from 5% on Friday after moving tantalizingly close to breaching that level in the previous session.

Right now, investors are trying to catch the proverbial falling knife by taking advantage of a cheaper 10-year Treasury note, the product of recent selloffs. Analysts warn that it’s difficult to have much short-term conviction in catching that knife, however, given the likelihood that the selloff could return.

Over the next several weeks, “it becomes much easier to envision a surge in Treasury yields in anticipation of the upcoming coupon supply,” they wrote in a note on Friday. While the 10-year yield has stopped shy of 5%, “we continue to expect this milestone will be reached shortly.”

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