5 theories about why Trump-supporting Republicans are so dismissive of objective evidence that points in the direction of defeat
Trump cannot fail. He can only be failed. Photo: Cengiz Yar/Getty Images By any objective standard, the president’s prospects for reelection are looking down. Joe Biden is continuing to lead him in trial heats nationally and in most battleground states. The president’s job approval numbers are lower than they’ve been since last December.
But what’s more interesting is what Trump supporters really think, and why they appear so determined to project self-confidence, unlike their endlessly neurotic Democratic counterparts. After all, there is no established principle in politics that thinking you’ll win makes it more likely that you will win, beyond a minimal belief that it’s possible.
2. They believe “enthusiasm” is the ball game As is well known, Trump’s reelection strategy, and his behavior in office, have been heavily oriented towards “base mobilization,” to the extent of sometimes excluding any serious effort to identify or persuade swing voters, much less Democrats. To the extent that mobilization is facilitated by enthusiasm, getting the MAGA faithful to believe they are marching in a perpetual victory parade is presumably valuable.
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