The Chinese Communist Party has a strong economic and political incentive to avoid exposing itself to western sanctions, and providing offensive weaponry to Russia’s army would guarantee such sanctions. EricLevitz writes
What are friends for? Photo: Lintao Zhang/Getty Images Russia is asking China to provide military assistance to its war effort in Ukraine, according to U.S. officials. Vladimir Putin’s regime has reportedly asked its allies in Beijing for surface-to-air missiles, drones, “intelligence-related equipment,” armored vehicles, and nonperishable military food kits, among other items.
In recent days, U.S. officials have reportedly learned that China is “open” to providing military assistance to Russia, although they remain uncertain whether a firm decision has been made. On Monday, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan held a seven-hour meeting in Rome with his Chinese counterpart, Yang Jiechi, much of which was devoted to the crisis in Ukraine. The U.S.
If China’s foreign policy were determined solely by its national economic interests, then the conflict between Russia and the West would pose no conundrum; Beijing would simply align with the latter. Dealings with the U.S. and European Union composed more than a quarter of China’s total trade in 2020, while exchange with Russia accounted for just 2.5 percent. Today, roughly 35 percent of China’s exports go to Americans and Europeans.
By all appearances, Xi Jinping’s regime is quite aware of this. On Monday, Chinese stocks suffered a historic sell-off, amid investor fears that western sanctions might be in the offing. Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi sought to quell such anxieties Monday, reiterating that “China is not a party to the crisis, nor does it want the sanctions to affect China.”
So China seemingly consented to Russia’s adventure in Ukraine in advance. And since the conflict’s onset, the CCP has echoed the Kremlin’s propaganda, blaming NATO for the war and affirming the unsubstantiated allegation that the U.S. was operating biological-weapon laboratories in Ukraine.
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