An Institute for the Study of War report has said that Belarusian forces remain 'extraordinarily unlikely' to invade Ukraine due to serious limitations.
according to Kyiv—will undermine future joint operations. Elite Russian units, ISW wrote,"now likely lack the capability to operate in combined formations with Belarusian forces and likely are unable to operate effectively in combined operations."
Belarusian opposition leaders have long predicted that the military would refuse an order from Lukashenko to join the war in Ukraine. ISW noted that"friction within the Belarusian military" has likely worsened due to Russia's efforts to pressure Minsk into joining the invasion, citing reports from Ukrainian intelligence and other sources of tensions between Belarusian troops and Russians stationed in the country.
Broader societal unrest is also staying Lukashenko's hand, ISW suggested. Lukashenko was able to suppress mass protests against the 2020 presidential election in Belarus, but the pro-democratic opposition remainsand its networks within the country are still strong. Minsk has also faced recent physical and cyber partisan attacks on infrastructure.
"Lukashenko is also likely aware that invading Ukraine would undermine his credibility as the leader of a sovereign country as it would be evident that Russia's effort to secure full control of Belarus had succeeded."
Canada Latest News, Canada Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Ukrainian Nobel Prize winner says Putin must face war crimes tribunalYan Rachinsky, head of Russian civil rights group Memorial, condemned the 'insane and criminal war of aggression against Ukraine.'
Read more »
Putin threatens preemptive nuclear strike as war drags onThe Russian president made the comment during a summit in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, on Friday.
Read more »
Russia is expanding and modernizing its nuclear arsenal, defense secretary saysRussia is expanding and modernizing its nuclear arsenal, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said on Friday, his comments in line with a recent Pentagon policy document on nuclear arms.
Read more »
The American Prisoner in Russia Trapped Between Putin and TrumpPaul Whelan made for an unsuspecting, and thoroughly unlucky, target. “Russia says it caught James Bond on a spy mission,” he told assembled reporters during a hearing in Moscow. “In reality, they abducted Mr. Bean on holiday.”
Read more »
Russian official demands Germany, France pay Ukraine region Putin annexedState Speaker Volodin said Germany and France should compensate Donbas residents 'for the eight years of genocide and inflicted damage.'
Read more »
Russia’s ‘Merchant of Death’ Makes Homeland Debut With Putin-Loving Propaganda Video“I am proud that I am a Russian person, and our president is Putin,” Viktor Bout told Maria Butina.
Read more »