At the Fed she has emerged as the strongest voice for stricter regulation of the financial industry
, will reach the end of his first term on February 5th. Most analysts and investors expect that President Joe Biden will re-appoint him for another four years, a recognition of the Fed’s forceful monetary interventions at the height of the pandemic. But this is far from guaranteed. The most talked-about alternative candidate is Lael Brainard, a Fed governor.
Last October, for example, she criticised an easing of liquidity requirements for banks, warning that cash buffers are needed to prevent banking mishaps from posing a “serious contagion risk” to the wider economy. She has also dissented from rule changes allowing banks to engage in more proprietary trading and to hold less capital.
Her record has also earned her support from the progressive wing of the Democratic Party. Elizabeth Warren, an influential senator, has commended Ms Brainard for her “strong and powerful dissents”, while calling Mr Powell a “dangerous man” because of his penchant for cutting regulations. Given the clout that progressives have had in shaping Mr Biden’s personnel decisions, their backing for Ms Brainard would seem to boost her chances at the Fed.
Yet as those odds suggest, Ms Brainard remains a long shot. Many of the left-wing Democrats who like her today were opposed to her one year ago when she was in the picture as a, a job that eventually went to Janet Yellen . Some pointed to Ms Brainard’s time in the Obama administration, when she helped to craft trade deals seen as unhelpful to workers. Others castigated her for failing to do enough on environmental concerns while at the Fed.
In any case, were Ms Brainard to replace Mr Powell, it is not obvious that the most consequential part of the Fed’s work—its management of monetary policy—would change much. Mr Powell has been very doveish and is only now guiding the central bank towards gradual tightening, thoughis running at its fastest pace in more than a decade.
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