Wheat Crops Almost Everywhere Are Coming Under Threat

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Wheat Crops Almost Everywhere Are Coming Under Threat
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Wheat crops almost everywhere are coming under threat from extreme weather

“If the lack of rain persists until the end of the month, we’ll have to look again at our yield forecasts,” said Aurelien Blary, a crop analyst at Strategie Grains.

The supply pinch threatens to send elevated grain prices even higher, worsening inflation across supply chains and hurting US exports. “Everything west of the Mississippi River needs rain,” Harries said. “If we don’t have those regular showers, the size of the crop will get smaller every day.”Meanwhile, excessive rains further north are making it tough to plant spring wheat used to make bagels and pizza.

Drought is a concern in southern Alberta, a growing area for spring wheat and durum used in pasta. Moisture there is lower than a year ago and dry, windy conditions are eroding soils, according to its agriculture ministry. Further east in Manitoba, a series of storms have sidelined farmers. More rain is in the forecast this week, casting doubt on progress anytime soon.

A farmer tries to cool off at a wheat farm amid a blistering heatwave in the Ludhiana district of Punjab, India, on May 1, 2022.Blistering heat scorched wheat fields in the world’s second-biggest grower, damping expectations for exports to alleviate a global shortage. March temperatures soared to the highest ever for the month in records going back to 1901, parching the crop during a crucial period. That spurred estimates that yields will slump 10% to 50% this season.

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