By the end of the next presidential term, the survival rate for both hovers around 55 per cent to 65 per cent
President Joe Biden, left, speaks in Wilmington, N.C. on May 2. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Waukesha, Wis., on May 1.As retirees reach advanced ages, the chances of death or life-threatening illness become progressively greater. The same is true for U.S. presidential candidates. The chart below shows the odds of Joe Biden and Donald Trump surviving until various key dates. It assumes both are average risks for their age.
By the end of the next presidential term, the survival rate for both is hovering around 55 per cent to 65 per cent. In this context, “survival” means not only avoiding death but also life-threatening cancer, acute myocardial infarction, stroke and Alzheimer’s. The mortality rates used to produce this chart are taken from the Society of Actuaries as they apply to white-collar males in the United States. Morbidity rates come from Canadian sources, but World Health Organization and Globocan show that the incidence of cancer, heart attack and Alzheimer’s are slightly lower in Canada than in the U.S.
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