‘We’re thinking landslide’: Beyond D.C., GOP officials see Trump on glide path to reelection

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‘We’re thinking landslide’: Beyond D.C., GOP officials see Trump on glide path to reelection
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By most conventional indicators, Donald Trump is in danger of becoming a one-term president. But state and local GOP officials see a different election unfolding

“If I wasn’t constantly harassed for three years by fake and illegal investigations, Russia, Russia, Russia, and the Impeachment Hoax, I’d be up by 25 points on Sleepy Joe and the Do Nothing Democrats,” he said on Twitter last week. “Very unfair, but it is what it is!!!”

At the center of the disconnect between Trump loyalists’ assessment of the state of the race and the one based on public opinion polls is a distrust of polling itself. Republicans see an industry that maliciously oversamples Democrats or under-samples the white, non-college educated voters who are most likely to support Trump. They say it is hard to know who likely voters are this far from the election.

When he asked one of them why, his friend told him, “I don’t like some of their questions. It’s none of their business what I do.” “The other side is overplaying its hand, going down roads like defunding the police and nonsense like that."“The further and further the Democrats tack left, and the further you get to where it’s the defunding the police,” said Scott Frostman, GOP chairman in Wisconsin’s Sauk County, which Obama won easily in 2012 but flipped to Trump four years later. “I think we have the opportunity as Republicans to talk to people a little bit more about some common sense things.

By most objective measures, Trump will need something to drag Biden down. He has fallen behind Biden in most swing state polls, and he lags the former vice president nationally by more than 8 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average. A Gallup poll last week put Trump’s approval rating at just 39 percent, down 10 percentage points from a month ago.

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