Daily News | We dig into the late debate
As soon as Lt. Gov. John Fetterman accepted a debate invitation for Oct. 25, Mehmet Oz said their matchup would fall too late in the cycle – two weeks before Election Day – given people could start voting by mail as early as late September. He criticized Fetterman for declining earlier debates.
The difference is many more people vote by mail now than in 2018, when Sen. Bob Casey and Lou Barletta held their first Senate debate Oct 21. In more ways than one, it’s a made-for-TV matchup. So how many votes will be cast before it airs? We wanted to dig into it.Yes, the 2022 vote-by-mail numbers will look a lot different from the past, but we know from recent elections that most voters will still vote in person on Nov. 8. Even most mail ballots tend to be cast in the final two weeks.
Now, a quick public service announcement: Even if voters tend to mail in ballots in the final days, it doesn’t mean you should cut it close. It must be received by 8 p.m. Election Day. Postmarks don’t count.The kind of person who knows to request a mail ballot and sends it in early typically also is informed about the election and who they support.
The pool of persuadable potential Oz voters is also limited by the fact that Democrats remain much more likely to vote by mail than Republicans.With the lack of policy discussion we’ve seen in this race, this one-hour debate could be more influential than most.Will he support Sen. Lindsey Graham’s proposed 15-week abortion ban?What, if any, gun control legislation does he support?
“These are voters who don’t feel favorable toward either candidate but who think it’s important to vote,” Yost said. “So maybe some event turns the tide. It’s possible the debate may do that.”Latinos in Pennsylvania support Democrats Shapiro and Fetterman, according to a Telemundo poll released this week. Shapiro led Mastriano with Latinos 60% to 24% and Fetterman led Oz 53% to 35%.
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