Studies show that lawmakers drastically underestimate public support for raising the minimum wage.
ANNAPOLIS, MD - MARCH 13: Demonstrators hold signs on the steps of the Maryland State House as people gather to rally for a $15 minimum wage on Wednesday March 13, 2019 in Annapolis, MD. A bill raising the minimum wage to $15 was going to be debated Wednesday. If passed, it would take several years to go into effect.
Other economists worry that a higher minimum wage will affect overall employment. But the bulk of research conducted in recent years has not found raising the minimum wage to have a significant, negative impact on employment. The battleground district survey highlights some of this disconnect. Democratic polling firm Hart Research Associates surveyed 800 likely voters across the 57 congressional districts a Democrat won by less than 15 points in 2018. Nearly all of the Democratic lawmakers who have declined to cosponsor the Raise the Wage Act hail from one of these districts.
Voters in these districts also said that a lawmaker who voted for the minimum wage bill would be, on net, more likely to get their support in the next congressional election: 37 percent said they’d be more likely to vote for a representative who supported the wage hike, while 21 percent said they’d be more likely to oppose such a representative.
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