USA vs Italy Predictions & Odds - 2023 FIBA World Cup

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USA vs Italy Predictions & Odds - 2023 FIBA World Cup
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FIBA World Cup predictions, odds, and betting tips for USA vs Italy on September 5. FIBA World Cup betting free pick and SGP.

While many people were still rubbing the sleep from their eyes on Sunday morning, Team USA fans were in for a rude awakening when they got around to checking the box scores. Lithuania jumped out to an enormous first-quarter lead and though Anthony Edwards and the rest of the squad did their best to close the gap, they never quite managed the comeback.

But while the loss exposed the Americans' very real weakness on the glass, I believe the odds are overreacting to this one defeat. Not only do I expect a better version of Team USA to arrive on Tuesday, but Italy is not nearly as complete a team as Lithuania. But it should also be said that the Lithuanians did benefit from some absolutely insane shot-making. Every time Team USA threatened to close the gap down the stretch, one of their players made a ridiculous shot despite outstanding defensive pressure.

Italy ranks in the Top 5 in the tournament in 3-point attempt rate, and that’s typically a big feature of their attack. But they just haven’t been falling during the World Cup, hitting only 31.4% from deep. They’ll be facing much more difficult ball pressure against Team USA, and perhaps more importantly, will struggle to draw two to the ball to create open looks from the corner.

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