US Unemployment Rate Increases For Fourth Straight Month

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US Unemployment Rate Increases For Fourth Straight Month
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The economy suffered an unexpected setback in July, after employers added just 114,000 jobs in July – 35% fewer than forecasters had expected

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy suffered an unexpected setback in July, as hiring fell sharply and the unemployment rate rose for the fourth straight month as sustained higher interest rates take a toll on businesses and consumers.

The unemployment rate’s jump to 4.3% in July crossed a tripwire that historically has signaled that the United States is in recession — though economists say the gauge probably is not reliable in the topsy-turvy post-pandemic economy. In another sign that the labor market is cooling, average hourly wages rose just 3.6% from July 2023, smallest year-over-year gain since May 2021 and a development likely to ease inflationary pressure in the economy.

Still, Sahm, now chief economist at the investment firm New Century Advisors, said before Friday’s report that this time “a recession is not imminent’’ even if the Sahm Rule were triggered. That is partly because America’s jobs numbers have been unsettled by an unexpectedacross the economy — but not all of them have found jobs right away, pushing up the jobless rate.

“I don’t want to be really specific about what we’re going to do but that’s not something we’re thinking about right now,” Powell said.

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