UP scientists develop advanced impact-based flood forecasting system

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UP scientists develop advanced impact-based flood forecasting system
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UP scientists develop advanced impact-based flood forecasting system

THE massive floods that tropical cyclones bring now demand urgent and science-based decision-making. Alfredo Mahar Lagmay, a professor at the University of the Philippines Diliman-College of Science's National Institute of Geological Sciences and executive director of the UP Resilience Institute , developed an impact-based flood forecasting system capable of predicting flooding in the entire Philippines.

The system was funded by the United States Agency for International Development's Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance. The tool can forecast flooding in specific areas based on accumulated rainfall forecasts and 100-year rain return flood hazard maps, which are maps showing areas prone to severe flooding based on historical data. The Impact-Based Flood Forecasting System was released in 2024 and has been available for public use since then. The system empowers Filipino citizens by enabling them to validate the data it provides. Lagmay and his team also collaborated with other organizations, such as the FYT PH Media's crowdsourcing platform, YesPinoy's disaster response training program, and the Quezon City Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office. The scientists emphasized that further development of the tool's functions, collaborations among citizens and stakeholders, and good governance are essential for improving disaster risk reduction and management in the country.

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Scientists Develop Advanced Impact-Based Flood Forecasting System

 

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