Ukraine's nuclear deal with Canada's Cameco carries big risks, rewards

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Ukraine's nuclear deal with Canada's Cameco carries big risks, rewards
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Ukraine's 12-year deal to buy uranium from Canada’s Cameco gives each side the right to change sales volumes with two years' notice. The unusual flexibility reflects the uncertainties caused by Russia's war and underlines the high stakes

The unusual flexibility of the deal announced in February, the details of which have not been reported previously, reflects the uncertainties caused by Russia's war with its neighbour and underlines the high stakes for both parties.

Prior to Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February last year, Ukraine ran its nuclear reactors on Russian fuel, producing 55% of the country's electricity.Last year Cameco restarted the world's largest high-grade uranium mine in northern Saskatchewan, as a more than decade-long slump in the sector eased, partly because of the Ukraine war and partly because of global efforts to reduce carbon emissions.

The deal will supply the nine reactors under Ukrainian control, with an option to supply six captured reactors in the southeastern Zaporizhzhia region if Ukraine retakes them.A spokesperson for Energoatom said there were no restrictions on how much either side can adjust the deliveries. Alternatively, if prices spike during the next 12 years, Cameco may be unable to fully cash in with so much production dedicated to Ukraine unless it scales back those sales, Carter added. He expects prices to continue rising in the next two years.

The main alternative to Cameco, French state-owned company Orano, told Energoatom it cannot supply it with more uranium until 2030, Kotin said. Orano declined to comment.

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