U.S. retail sales up 1% in June, easing fears of a recession

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U.S. retail sales up 1% in June, easing fears of a recession
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The U.S. retail figures show that consumers are still providing crucial support for the economy and spending on such discretionary items as furniture, restaurant meals and sporting goods

Consumers picked up their spending from May to June, underscoring their resilience despite painfully higher prices at the gas pump and in grocery aisles and allaying fears that the economy might be on the verge of a recession.

At the same time, last month’s spending gain is modest enough that it likely won’t encourage the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates even more aggressively. Stock prices rose after the report’s release. Kathy Bostjancic, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, said that excluding inflation, retail sales still rose about 0.3 per cent in June, up from a contraction of 0.4 per cent in May. She expects the economy to grow at a slim 0.5 per cent annual rate in the April-June quarter, after shrinking in the first three months of the year.

The government’s consumer price index soared 9.1 per cent in June compared with a year ago, the biggest yearly increase since 1981, with nearly half of the increase due to higher energy costs. The year-over-year leap in consumer prices last month followed an 8.6 per cent annual jump in May. From May to June, prices rose 1.3 per cent, following a 1 per cent increase from April to May.

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