Friday’s report from the U.S. government showed that prices rose 0.3% from February to March, the same as in the previous month
A measure of inflation closely tracked by the Federal Reserve remained uncomfortably high in March, likely reinforcing the Fed’s reluctance to cut interest rates anytime soon and underscoring a burden for President Joe Biden’s re-election bid.
Friday’s report from the government showed that prices rose 0.3 per cent from February to March, the same as in the previous month. It was the third straight month that the index has run at a pace faster than is consistent with the Fed’s 2 per cent inflation target. Measured from a year earlier, prices were up 2.7 per cent in March, up from a 2.5 per cent annual rise in February.
After peaking at 7.1 per cent in 2022, the Fed’s favored inflation index steadily cooled for most of 2023. Yet so far this year, the index has remained stuck above the central bank’s target rate. More expensive gas and higher prices for restaurant meals, health care and auto repairs and insurance, among other items, have kept the overall pace of price increases elevated. With new-car prices up sharply in the past few years, auto repair and replacement costs have risen especially fast.
Friday’s inflation data showed that excluding volatile food and energy costs, “core” prices rose by an elevated 0.3 per cent from February to March, unchanged from the previous month. Compared with a year earlier, core prices rose 2.8 per cent for a second straight month. The Fed closely tracks core prices, which tend to provide a particularly good read of where inflation is headed.
The chronically elevated measures of inflation have become a source of frustration for the Fed, whose policymakers had projected as recently as last month that they expected to cut their benchmark rate three times this year. Most economists expected the cuts to begin in June.
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