Even after his wishy-washy comments on Meet the Press, evangelicals are unlikely to dump him, and swing voters will appreciate his flexibility on abortion rights.
This is to say that, as Podhoretz’s quote about pivoting to the general election suggests, Trump’s softening position on abortion would likely help him in a general election, whereasFor conservatives, this is a bitter pill to swallow. Just as Trump’s refusal to embrace conservative positions like entitlement reform made it harder for Democrats to demagogue Social Security cuts, Trump’s abortion comments will play better in a general election than DeSantis’ pro-life position.
This raises an interesting question: Does it even matter if you win elections if your policy preferences lose popularity ? This conundrum is perhaps the inevitable result of a bargain Republicans made with the devil back in 2016. The deal implied that conservatives would get many of their desires, as long as they agreed to look the other way regarding Trump’s character and personal behavior , as well as his lack of a deeply committed conservative political philosophy.
When it comes to abortion, one could still plausibly argue that the deal paid off for conservatives. But we are likely entering into a phase of diminished returns. And at some point, Trump’s presidency might even be a net-negative for pro-lifers.
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