The dramatic result in Toronto-St. Paul’s surprised Conservatives, who for weeks have said they were not expecting to win the long-shot seat
The Liberal Party’s stunning loss in a midtown Toronto by-election has no impact on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s future at the top, his most senior cabinet minister Chrystia Freeland said Tuesday.
“We know that these are hard times for Canadians,” she said. “We know that we have to work hard to earn back their trust, and we know that the way to do that is by delivering for them.” Until last year, Toronto-St. Paul’s was represented by Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett, who had held the seat since 1997 and in the last election won with a 24-percentage-point margin over the second-place Conservatives. The Conservatives managed to close that gap Monday and win with a 1.6-percentage-point margin. The NDP vote share also fell compared to 2021, when they won 16.8 per cent.congratulated Mr. Stewart in a social media post, calling the result a “shocking upset in Toronto-St. Paul’s.
On Tuesday morning, Ms. Church released a statement conceding defeat but promising a rematch in next year’s federal election. “It is a beginning, not an end,” she said. For the Liberals, it is a “bolt of political lightning,” said Scott Reid, a Liberal strategist and principal at Feschuk Reid. He said the only political comparison for the Liberals now is the 1993 Progressive Conservative defeat. In that election, the incumbent party was reduced to just two seats, from which it never recovered.
Ms. Church was most recently Ms. Freeland’s chief of staff and has deep roots in the Liberal Party, but was relatively unknown in the riding. In the tough polling climate earlier this year, the Liberals delayed calling the vote as they searched for someone with better name recognition.
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