What would a trade for Karlsson look like?
Erik Karlsson is a completely unique trade asset. It's tough to argue that a defenseman is in the midst of his decline phase when he just posted an 101-point season. There have only been 15 triple-digit point seasons from defenders in NHL history, and unsurprisingly, no player has been traded directly after producing one.
and if San Jose moves him it would be the most expensive deal to change hands in the league's history.Not only is that a massive deal for any team to accommodate, it's unclear whether Karlsson can deliver production that justifies it in the years to come. The star defenseman produced at that level in 2022-23, but last season was an outlier for him in a number of ways.
The total package is a player who justified his lofty contract in his most recent season, but did so with atypical durability and luck. Those factors may elude him in the years to come, especially as he enters his mid-thirties. While the threat of salary retention weighing them down in the future shouldn't dissuade the Sharks from making a move that makes their future better on balance, it will take some bite out of the return they receive for Karlsson.
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