Traders Pull Forward First Full Fed Rate Cut to November Ahead of Jobs

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Traders Pull Forward First Full Fed Rate Cut to November Ahead of Jobs
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(Bloomberg) -- Bond traders pulled forward expectations for the Federal Reserve’s first full interest-rate cut by a month to November ahead of a key US jobs ...

-- Bond traders pulled forward expectations for the Federal Reserve’s first full interest-rate cut by a month to November ahead of a key US jobs report on Friday.The recalibration came amid the best two-day rally for short-end Treasuries since January, following the central bank’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday. Yields on two-year notes, among those most sensitive to interest rates, have tumbled 17 basis points to 4.87% from their high for the year of 5.04% on Tuesday.

The bullish sentiment flowed into Asia, with the yields on Australian and New Zealand debt falling this week. The yield on policy-sensitive three-year Australian debt were three basis points lower at 4.04% in early trading Friday, while two-year New Zealand yields fell five basis points. Cash Treasuries are closed in Asia due to a holiday in Japan.

Another strong report — especially one that prompts more Wall Street banks to abandon forecasts for at least two Fed rate cuts this year — has the potential to induce traders to re-set short positions at better levels. The post-Fed rally was fueled in part by traders exiting bearish wagers, positioning data show.AI Is Helping Automate One of the World’s Most Gruesome JobsEarlier in the day, the U.S.

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