Top QB Draft Picks Don’t Usually Flunk Out Of The NFL Right Away

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Top QB Draft Picks Don’t Usually Flunk Out Of The NFL Right Away
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Top quarterback draft picks don’t usually flunk out of the NFL right away. Via FiveThirtyEight:

But the rookie did not give up when faced with adversity. Down 24-6, Arizona’s hope for the future. He led a field-goal drive and then threw two touchdowns to bring the game to overtime. After Murray produced another field-goal drive in the extra period, the Lions marched back to tie the game, but he led a long enough drive to secure a tie for his team. Considering the circumstances, it was not a bad debut for the former Heisman winner.

These days, it seems like every rookie quarterback drafted in the first round enters the NFL ready to play immediately, even if they sit out for a while,. But the one thing you can almost guarantee is that once they get the starting job, barring injury, they won’t give it up for a while — at least for the first two years.

The 2019 rookie quarterback status — with the top pick starting out of the gates and a couple others waiting for their chance— is fairly typical based on recent history. Since the 2010 draft, 40 percent of first-round quarterbacks have started Week 1. That’s an increase from 23 percent the previous decade.

But it’s the 2018 quarterback class — the famed five-member first round — that shows a different story. Even though No. 3 pick Sam Darnold was the only Week 1 starter, all five started at least seven games during their rookie seasons, played in at least 12

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