We should give Ukraine the tools it needs to win this war
Generally the line goes that we should worry as: a) we might see Russian President Vladimir Putin’s removal from power and whoever comes next could be much worse — and therein people usually bring up Ramzan Kadyrov and Yevgeny Prigozhin; and b) this war could set off a train of events that could see the collapse/disintegration of Russia, similar to what happened with the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991.
It would surely then be a green light for further Russian expansion elsewhere in Europe , and perhaps even Central Asia . The broader region would not be safe. It’s notable here that while the global south might have sold itself to Russian oil, dollars and influence, countries around Russia understand the risks and threats, and few, if any, are actually backing Russia in any significant way.
Instead, we should make our decisions on the back of what is right, and best for us, the collective West. And, undeniably, ensuring the defeat of Russia in Ukraine, ensuring Ukraine is able to defend itself against Russian aggression and, by so doing, that Ukraine acts as a critical defensive buffer for Europe against Russian aggression, has to be the right choice, because this outcome is in our best interests. A weaker Russia, through its defeat now in Ukraine, is in our interests.
We simply don’t know the outcomes in Russia, but on balance of probability, what comes after Putin cannot be much worse.
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