Dahle won four counties that voted for Newsom in 2018 and against the recall in 2021.
easily won reelection in 2022, but he underperformed his margins in both last year’s recall election and the 2018 gubernatorial election.
In 2018, Newsom defeated John Cox 61.9% to 38.1%, and in 2021, “no” on the recall triumphed over “yes” by the exact same margin of 61.9% to 38.1%. While the statewide results were identical,that Newsom won with a different coalition in 2021 than he did in 2018. While Newsom fared worse in Central Valley counties in 2021, he offset those losses by making gains in the Bay Area.
In 2022, however, Newsom won reelection over state Sen. Brian Dahle 59.2% to 40.8% and underperformed his recall margins in every single California county. Dahle won four counties that voted for Newsom in 2018 and against the recall in 2021: Lake, Orange, San Bernardino and San Joaquin. Dahle also won Merced County, which backed Newsom in 2018 but voted to recall him in 2021.
The map below shows the California counties in which Newsom hemorrhaged the most support. Statewide, his margin of victory decreased by 5.4 percentage points , so you can see which counties were more or less friendly to Newsom than the state at large. As in the recall election, Newsom continued to see an erosion of support in the Central Valley. He saw the least amount of slippage in already deep-red Lassen County, where his margin of victory decreased only 0.2 percentage points compared to 2021.
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