Local elections in England and Northern Ireland are the first major national political test for 12 months.
The fear among Tories is that supporters frustrated and angry at the Brexit paralysis will withhold their votes.
Meanwhile, UKIP, the other political force that could benefit from Tory disillusion, is a shadow of its former self and is fighting only one in six of the more than 8,400 seats to be contested in England. “The breaking point for many Conservatives was when Theresa started talking to Labour [in pursuit of a Brexit compromise]"One pattern to look out for on Friday morning, he added, will be whether Tories in wards without a UKIP candidate do better than wards where UKIP are standing. That could be a good indicator of how significant the Tory flight to hard Brexit parties will be in the European election.
“The breaking point for many Conservatives was when Theresa started talking to Labour [in pursuit of a Brexit compromise]. It was a bit of a red rag to the bull. There’s been a lot more anger since then,” Kellaway said. The Conservatives' dominance on the local council has already been hit by the resignations of several councillors who now sit as independents or with a new hyper-local party, Borough First. The Liberal Democrats, who ran the Council before 2007, hope to make gains.“There is deep anger in the country against the whole of parliament, but bear in mind in this constituency there is huge regard for Theresa May," he said."She has been walking the streets [canvassing] for 22 years.
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