The Dollar looks set to hold onto its gains this week, economists at ING report. Treasury slide supports the Dollar US 10-year yields are closing in o
US 10-year yields are closing in on 4.30%, and our rates strategy team favours 4.50%. Intriguingly, the team notes that the US 10-year yield correlates most with the pricing of the policy rate four or five years forward. In other words, the Treasury sell-off is less about the terminal rate for this tightening cycle and more about where the Fed Funds rate settles under more normal conditions. Chair Powell could shed some light on this on Friday.
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