The science of a storm: How a 2% tornado risk turned into seven twisters that killed 25 people and destroyed thousands of buildings

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The science of a storm: How a 2% tornado risk turned into seven twisters that killed 25 people and destroyed thousands of buildings
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Even with the pending storm's slight tornado risk noted throughout that day, the reality of the quickly changing environment left mere minutes for people to find shelter.

, a dean of the College of Science, Technology and Math at Fort Hays State University and a meteorologist who studies tornado climatology.

And that Monday, a cold front was moving toward Tennessee, one with a low pressure system primed to create a supercell — a dangerous, rotating type of thunderstorm. At 5:50 a.m., the National Weather Service in Nashville noted the growing"strong to severe threat." But, it tweeted, on a scale of 0 to 5 the risk associated with possible tornadoes in Middle Tennessee that night was a 1.But the main threat remained large hail and locally damaging winds, with most of the instability concentrated outside the state, around the boot heel of Missouri, Dixon said.

The day had been cautioned with only slight concern. But, as night deepened, the winds higher in the atmosphere got unpredictably stronger and the supercell took advantage.Tornadoes are ranked on a scale of 0-5 called the Enhanced Fujita scale: At 10:15 p.m., a storm chaser captured a photo of a tornado 4 miles east-northeast of Malden, Missouri, about 80 miles west of the Mississippi River.The first Middle Tennessee tornado — 11:05 p.m. March 2

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