The Payoff from the Pain: Trillions in Benefits Seen from Social Distancing to Slow Coronavirus

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The Payoff from the Pain: Trillions in Benefits Seen from Social Distancing to Slow Coronavirus
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Taking tough measures to keep the most vulnerable alive in the age of COVID-19 has a huge benefit for society: $8 trillion according to economists a the University of Chicago

“When you compare something in monetary terms and non-monetary terms,” he says, “the side of the debate that’s in monetary terms has a big advantage. So the reduction of the stock market, the increase in employment, the reduction in GDP — all those are clear and measurable. And we felt like there was a need to be able to put the benefits of social distancing in the same units in order to have a full conversation.

to “slow the spread.” Many states have gone significantly further, with orders in place for residents to stay at home.from Imperial College in London, whose warnings of millions of COVID-19 deaths lit a fire under policymakers in both the United States and the U.K. to implement social-distancing practices.

The University of Chicago model focuses on the financial value of the lives that can be saved. To calculate this figure, the economists lean on a federal figure called the “value of a statistical life” that government agencies routinely use in weighing the costs and benefits of policy changes, like raising the speed limit on the highways or imposing new restrictions for environmental pollutants.

The current value used by the federal government is about $11 million per person. And if the government were doing this modeling, it would use that figure for every life saved, regardless of age. Under those conditions, saving 1.76 million lives amounts to more than $20 trillion — or nearly a full year of the gross domestic product of the United States.

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