But progress will be slow, and some of the damage done in the past two years will prove impossible to undo WorldAhead
, a motorbike taxi driver who spent months hiding from his landlord during the covid-19 lockdown will be back on the road in 2022 and beginning to repay his debt. A farmer in rural Zambia will be relieved that the local college has reopened and is buying up her crop for hungry students. In Delhi urban migrants who fled to their home villages when the city was shuttered will be back and looking for work.
Covid-19 plunged millions into poverty as countries went into lockdown, jobs dried up and people living in cramped, unsanitary housing struggled to keep the virus at bay. In the coming year, as lockdowns are lifted and economic activity restarts, many will be rebuilding their lives. At the end of 2020, the number of people living on less than $1.90 a day had increased to almost 750m, according to the World Data Lab’s World Poverty Clock, a predictive tool which includes World Bank anddata.
Globally, the pandemic has pushed lots of people in middle-income countries, many of whom lived just above the poverty line, back into penury. In 2020 and 2021, economists warned of a “re-Asianisation” of poverty as millions of Indians, in particular, faced fresh hardship. But, as the recovery takes hold, poverty will once again become concentrated in the poorest parts of sub-Saharan Africa and fragile states. By 2030, over 60% of those living on less than $1.
Within nations, there is growing concern about poverty in cities. One in ten people who are poor in 2022 will be in urban areas. Many will be looking for work, doing things like cleaning homes and hawking street food. But jobs will be hard to find while consumer confidence remains weak and the threat of disease lingers. By late October 2021, some countries like Spain and Singapore had managed to vaccinate three-quarters of their population.
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