The recent assassination of a top Iranian commander could beckon a dark new cycle of vengeance in the Middle East, abounding with cryptic messages and secret targets.
acknowledging the threat to Israel as “real” and officials in Jerusalem taking apparent contingency measures in preparation for a possible attack. Adding to the risk of escalation, a report released on Monday by the London-basedHow exactly Iran could conduct its vengeance campaign is yet to be seen, but one thing is for certain: The assassination in Syria could mark a grim new chapter in the yearslong dogfight between Israel and Iran .
“The logic… suggests to me that they will see if they have the option to attack an Israeli embassy or Israeli diplomats connected to an embassy or Israeli officials outside of Israel. That would be a parallel,” said Abrams, now a senior fellow for Middle Eastern studies at the Council on Foreign Relations.
An Iranian flag hangs as smoke rises after what the Iranian media said was an Israeli strike on a building close to the Iranian embassy in Damascus, Syria on April 1, 2024.“The rules of the game are changing in the sense that previously only Iranian proxies had been attacked… this is a change in the rules,” Abrams told The Daily Beast.
Israel might be signaling to the Iranian regime that “if there was going to be an Iranian regime attack on the state of Israel,” then Jerusalem would be willing to carry out attacks on Iranian soil, as opposed to targeting Tehran’s proxies in Syria or Elsewhere. There’s no guarantee that “Israel will stay in the same old rules of the game,” Melamed said.
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