The Liberals can't win a general election if they keep losing safe seats

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The Liberals can't win a general election if they keep losing safe seats
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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau arrives at Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Tuesday, Sept. 17, 2024.

The difference between winning and losing in LaSalle-Émard-Verdun was a mere 248 votes. But the fact the Liberals lost the riding — as opposed to narrowly winning it — is less important than the fact that it was even close. Two years ago, the Liberal margin of victory was nearly 10,000 votes.

Comparisons between father and son are a bit too easy to make, but the example of Pierre Trudeau's Liberals in 1978 offers at least one reference point for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberals in 2024.Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says ‘there’s more work to do’ following the Liberal candidate’s loss in the Montreal riding of LaSalle–Émard–Verdun on Monday. Trudeau says the Liberals need voters ‘to understand what’s at stake in this upcoming election.

A Trudeau supporter might say that the most important data to come out on Tuesday was not the Liberal candidate's final vote tally in LaSalle-Émard-Verdun, but Statistics Canada's finding that "The big thing is to make sure that Canadians understand that the choice they get to make in the next election, about the kind of country we are, really matters," Trudeau said Tuesday when asked what the Liberals need to do now.

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