The snow season will become shorter. Heavy rainfall will occur more frequently. Avalanches and mudslides will happen more often.
A view of the Global Seed Vault in Svalbard, Norway. By Kayla Epstein Kayla Epstein Embedded audience editor on the National desk Email Bio Follow March 27 at 5:43 PM Few places have served as a locus for the public’s anxiety about climate change as much as the Svalbard Global Seed Vault.
A report on climate change in the Svalbard archipelago released this year by the Norwegian Center for Climate Services and commissioned by the Norwegian Environment Agency states that “from 1971 to 2017, a warming of 3-5 degrees Celsius has been observed … with the largest increase in winter and the smallest in summer.” The estimated average temperature for Svalbard is -8.7 degrees Celsius.
But the predictions for the future are even more stark. The report projects changes from a period of 1971-2000 until 2071-2100 based on various scenarios for global warming set out by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change . “Under medium to high scenarios for future climate emissions,” the annual air temperature will increase by approximately 10 degrees Celsius under high emissions and 7 degrees Celsius under medium emissions, scientists found.
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