The Conservative leadership contest ends tonight and it's Pierre Poilievre's to lose

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The Conservative leadership contest ends tonight and it's Pierre Poilievre's to lose
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The Conservative Party of Canada will announce its next leader in Ottawa tonight, after candidates and supporters spent the past seven months on its third leadership contest in six years, and expectations are high for veteran Conservative Pierre Poilievre.

, after candidates and supporters spent the past seven months on its third leadership contest in six years.

Such a win would be good for party unity because it signals a clear direction, Keller said. "It's all united behind one person." If there's no clear winner the first time ballots are counted, the candidate who receives the least support is eliminated, and the votes they received from supporters who picked them first transfer to the candidates those members picked second.

If they ever needed lessons on the importance of that, they needed only look at the fortunes of Bernier in 2017 and Peter MacKay in 2020, who were presumed front-runners when they ran for leader but lost in the end. Another factor the Charest campaign is counting on is support from the party members brought in by another centrist candidate, Patrick Brown. The Brampton, Ont., mayor was disqualified from the race in July over an allegation that he may have contravened federal election law, which he has denied.

Like in the last race, she's benefiting from support in the party's well-mobilized social conservative wing, in part because of her opposition to abortion.

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