The oceans, long a source of peaceful global trade, are once again becoming a zone of competition and conflict—especially between the U.S. and China
Whether or not America has entered a new Cold War—or whether “Cold War” is the right reference point for contemporary geopolitics—it’s clear that the U.S. is in a new arms race with China. But unlike the long, visible struggle with the Soviets, where land armies in Europe were the front lines and the prospect of intercontinental nuclear strikes loomed, today’s arms race has been concentrated mostly out of public view, at sea.
Its pivotal geography is the Western Pacific, that vast stretch of water west of Hawaii. The Luzon Strait, which connects the Philippine Sea to the South China Sea, has replaced the Fulda Gap that straddled East and West Germany as the most critically tense piece of geography in the world. If war breaks out on the oceans, perhaps triggered by a crisis over Taiwan, it’s mostly likely to start there.
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