The cap on Russian oil is unlikely to change soon — despite opposing views on whether it’s working

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The cap on Russian oil is unlikely to change soon — despite opposing views on whether it’s working
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The G-7, EU and Australia decided late last year to impose a cap of $60 a barrel on Russian oil in an effort to ratchet up the pressure on Moscow.

The G-7, alongside the European Union and Australia, decided late last year to impose a cap of $60 a barrel on Russian oil in an effort to ratchet up the pressure on Moscow.However, despite calls from some countries in Europe, the threshold was not revised and is not expected to be updated in the coming weeks.Anton Petrus | Moment | Getty Images

However, despite calls to do so from several countries in Europe, the threshold was not revised last month even as oil prices fell from the levels seen in the two months prior to mid-March. If a revision had taken place, the $60 barrel level would likely have been reduced. There are two main reasons for this. Firstly, the G-7 seems to believe the current cap is effective in reducing oil revenues for Russia. Secondly, oil producer group OPEC+ announced on April 2 surprise cuts to production, which pushed up prices and limited the argument for a downward revision to the $60 threshold.

"The price of Urals crude declined from the trade range of $65-70 barrel at the end of November 2022 to well below the $60 cap in January and February 2023." While it does seem to be hurting Russia's oil revenues, it is also diminishing the power that Western nations had in the insurance space, he added. This is because, in the wake of sanctions, Russia managed to circumvent some of the restrictions imposed by the G-7 and others by amassing a fleet of older tankers.

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