Talking the Tropics With Mike: Idalia makes landfall on the Big Bend of Florida

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Talking the Tropics With Mike: Idalia makes landfall on the Big Bend of Florida
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An overview of what's going on in the tropics....

REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.

Meanwhile...“Franklin” hit Haiti & especially the Dominican Republic with very heavy rain last Wed. The hurricane rapidly intensified to a high end Cat. 4 Monday when the storm finally found the “sweet spot” of the SW Atlantic but at least is not a threat to land. There will be some distant impacts on the U.S. east coast through midweek. Franklin will accelerate to the north/northeast, & there will be some impacts for Bermuda Tuesday but *not* a direct hit on the island.

. with a peak at Cat. 4 Tue. night before making landfall early Wed. - about 7:50am - during an eyewall replacement cycle. This cycle along with friction from land helped begin a slight & slow weakening trend while moving ashore. The eye will continue northeast across Southern Ga. through Wed. moving offshore near Charleston early Thu. shortly after midnight.- An average of 2-4″, locally more west of Highway 301.... 1″ from Highway 301 to the beaches.

REALIZE ALL THESE IMPACTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS THAT WILL CHANGE TO AT LEAST SOME DEGREE... & UNDERSTAND IMPACTS WILL BE MUCH GREATER CLOSER TO LANDFALL . Moderate to strong shear out of the west has been decreasing. As Idalia approaches land, there will be some upper level ventilation thanks to a nearby trough of low pressure. In addition... Idalia will be moving in line with the mid/upper level wind vector so the effects of the shear should be lessened. With moisture remaining favorable, a hurricane is forecast at landfall - as strong as a Cat. 4 while strengthening all the way up to the Fl. hit on the coastline.

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